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PECOTA Projects the Tigers Third in the AL Central

Nate Silver used his projection system, PECOTA, to see how the AL Central (and NL Central) will turn out in the 2007.  Not good news for Tiger fans because they have the Tigers in third place with 85 wins.   It projects the Indians and Twins to come in with 90 wins with the White Sox at a disappointing 72 wins.  I’d be interested to see what they projected last year to see how close they came.  He does hedge himself because PECOTA isn’t looking for much from Gary Sheffield so if he puts in a full, 2005 like season, that’ll be worth a few more wins.   He concludes with some tweaks that the Tigers will actually win 88 games, which is pretty close to what I’m predicting.

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